Gareth Edwards' upcoming sci-fi sequelJurassic World Rebirthwill reset the franchise after a disastrous conclusion to the previous trilogy, and therefore both its budget and box office expectations are understandably high. Its high-profile cast is headlined by Scarlett Johansson, Jonathan Bailey, and Mahershala Ali, with Rupert Friend, Manuel Garcia-Rulfo, and Ed Skrein in supporting roles.

Jurassic World Rebirthpicks upfive years after the events ofJurassic World Dominion, by which time all surviving dinosaurs have settled into a few tropical climates. Scarlett Johansson’s Zora Bennett leads a team onto a remote island in search of the largest remaining dinosaurs, but their expedition takes a deadly turn when they discover the mutated dinosaurs that still inhabit the island.

A T-Rex confronts a girl in a raft in Jurassic Park Rebirth

The earlyJurassic Parkmovies set special effects standards in the franchise’s infancy, and their overall success has led to bloated production budgets ever since. That peaked withJurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, andJurassic World Dominion, which both had all-in production costs (including marketing) reportedly over $500 million.

Naturally, the franchise’s track record has yielded familiar questions aboutJurassic World Rebirth. While it still carries a summer tent pole blockbuster price tag, it’s a far cry from its predecessors.

Dr. Henry Loomis (Jonathan Bailey) looks shocked while attempting to take a sample from a dinosaur egg in Jurassic World Rebirth

Jurassic World Rebirth’s Budget Is Reportedly $180 Million

The Budget Is Scaled Back Significantly From The Franchise’s Previous Movie

The reported production budget forJurassic World Rebirthis around $180 million, putting it behind all three most recentJurassic Worldmovies. That number will eventually get larger after marketing, but as it stands, that budget is much more in line with the average summer blockbuster as opposed to the stratospheric costs of otherJurassic Worldfranchise movies.

Jurassic World Rebirth’s Opening Weekend Box Office Projections

It Should Have One Of The Summer’s Best Openings

Early box office projections forJurassic World Rebirthhave it on pace for one of the best openings of 2025. It will of course be helped by the holiday weekend; with the 4th of July on a Friday, the first major showings will occur on Wednesday, July 2nd. The current consensus placesthe movie’s five-day opening weekend projection at $115-$135 million.

1993

Duncan Kincaid (Mahershala Ali) uses a flare to distract the dinosaurs in Jurassic World Rebirth

$63 million

$1.058 billion

01784103_poster_w780-1.jpg

1997

$75 million

$618.6 million

2001

$93 million

$368.6 million

2015

$215 million

$1.671 billion

2018

$432 million

$1.310 billion

2022

$465 million

$1.004 billion

2025

$180 million

N/A

That would put it have it threatening (although likely still short) of projections for some of the summer’s other massive blockbusters, including the MCU’s latest entry inFantastic Four: First Stepsand the new DCU’s first movie, James Gunn’sSuperman. However, if that projection holds,it would also be the lowest opening weekend for anyJurassic Worldmovie.

That projection is admittedly fairly conservative, andit’s entirely realistic thatJurassic World Rebirthcould come in closer to $125-$145 during the five-day opening weekendwhen all is said and done.Positive early reactions forRebirthcould yield excellent word of mouth for the standalone sequel, driving its box office return even higher.

It Needs To Earn Roughly 2.5x Its Budget

Image via Universal Pictures

The standard calculation for a movie’s profitability is usually 2.5x the given production budget. Marketing costs still need to be factored in, and for as high-profile a movie asJurassic World Rebirth, those costs can get exorbitant quickly. With what we know about the budget,the new sci-fi action movie will need to cross the $450 million mark worldwide to be considered a box office success.

Will Jurassic World Rebirth Be A Box Office Hit Or Flop?

It’s On Track To Be A Hit With A More Controlled Budget

Jurassic World Rebirthseems destined to be a hit at the box office, especially given the positive early sentiment from fans and critics.Its more reasonable budget (compared to its predecessors) should all but guarantee profitability, but with summer movie season in full swing, the 4th of July holiday helping along its opening weekend, and the ravenous historical audience appetite for the franchise,Jurassic World Rebirthshould be a big hit for Universal.